Overview of the Epstein Civil Violence Model
mainThe Epstein Civil Violence Model is an agent-based simulation of how civil unrest grows and is suppressed.
Key Components:
- Citizen Agents: Wander a grid with individual risk aversion and hardship levels. They decide to rebel based on hardship, regime legitimacy, and perceived arrest probability.
- Cop Agents: Work on behalf of the regime to arrest Citizens who are actively rebelling.
- Regime Legitimacy: A universal value that influences agent behavior.
Dynamics:
- Mass Uprising: A self-reinforcing process where high numbers of rebels reduce the individual probability of arrest, encouraging more agents to join.
- Suppression: Increased arrests by Cops reduce the likelihood of additional agents joining the uprising.